Texas swings to Obama — SUSA
February 26, 2008 by
Filed under Bush Powers, Capitol Hill, Clueless, Deserved, Double Standards, Idiot Ideas, Legal Ramblings, Money, Uncategorized
SurveyUSA. 2/23-25. Likely voters. MoE 3.8% (2/19 results)
Obama 49 (45)
Clinton 45 (50)
That’s a 9-point swing in just six days. And this doesn’t even take into consideration Obama’s advantages in his ground game, in the delegate allocation process, and in the caucuses that night.
Update:
2,000 state of Texas adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 02/23/08 through 02/25/08. Of them, 1,780 were registered to vote. Of them, 704 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted in the 03/04/08 Democratic Primary, or to be likely to vote on or before Election Day. Of the 25% of respondents who have already voted, it’s Clinton 51%, Obama 46%.
Very large MoE on the early votes. 25% of 704 is 176 respondents, which would translate to a MoE of about 7.39 percent.
